GIVN IS A POTENTIAL BUY

I am looking at GIVN again for a long-term trade. I see it being in a buying territory around $16.00. Remember to place a stop loss order and do so below $14.00. Click on this chart to see what I am talking about.

HEAT TRADE: OPENED 7.7.2010 @ $5.50

I saw a great trading opportunity on a stock that I have been following for a long period of time. HEAT has entered a buying zone for me based upon the chart seen here. (click on the chart to see it and read the text associated with it.) I bought 2000 shares at $5.50 and am expecting a higher move. That will also depend upon the overall market too. If the S&P 500 goes down, this will most like follow suit.



Here is now a daily chart. Notice how the weekly chart above and the daily chart to the right here have the stochastic indicator in the oversold (below the 20 line) area. When both are in the same area, that should mean there is a potential for this to move back upwards soon.



UPDATE: 7.20.2010 On a daily chart, HEAT has been behaving as it should be which means upward. This upward movement was stoked by the weekly chart and the daily chart both being in the oversold territory on stochastics.

However, when you look at the weekly chart, you can see that trading volume is slowing down while price trickles higher. What a trader wants to see is volume picking up with volume climbing higher.

Plan on staying in on this trade and as of today, it is still 13% in profit.


UPDATE: 8/5/2010
So far HEAT has garnered a 20% gain for me and I see a short-term top in place so I am going to sell an August $5 covered call at $1.65.


8/17/2010
Here is the chart and why I saw the short-term top on the stock. As noted above, I sold an in-the-money August $5.00 call for $1.65. Today, I bought the contract back to close the position for $0.90. That is equivalent to $0.75 per share. This will knock my cost basis down to $4.75.

SPXU PROFITABLE TRADE

So here is a trade that followed the trading plan that I have created. I have traded the symbol SPXU that is three times the inverse of the S&P 500. That means that when the S&P 500 moves 1%, the SPXU moves 3% in the opposite direction.

I was looking at the charts on the S&P 500 and expected it to make a downturn. So, if the S&P 500 was going to go down, the SPXU was going to go up three fold. (click on the chart to see the S&P 500 daily chart).


The chart of the SPXU is next. Since the market was probably going to go down, the SPXU was going to go up three-fold. On June 22, 2010, I entered a trade at $31.65 by buying SPXU. The amazing part is that nine trading days later, the trade was exited at $38.77 for a 24.5% profit. I'll take that any day.

This is just one of the three different ways that a stock or ETF can be traded. In a second way, you can use options to keep a trade for a longer period of time, or you can always use options as insurance in the third way of trading. Don't be afraid of the word options. Options are just a way of insuring major losses in stock trading. It can be a learned behavior.

HSA - IRA

0803-2411 sc*hwa*b

GOAL = 3% MONTHLY RETURN USING OPTION SPREADS

SYMBOLS:

SPY
SH
SPXU
TMV

I’m talking about being thankful to Uncle Sam and the U.S. government for the bountiful opportunity they have given us to make huge loads of money in a relatively short amount of time.

I’m talking about shorting U.S. debt via 2 specific, but very risky vehicles:

• Ultrashort Lehman 20+Year Treasury Proshares (NYSE: TBT)
• Direxion Daily 30 Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (NYSE: TMV)

Thank You Mr. President

Since the collapse of the yield curve late last year when people were panicked in the market such that they were willing to take NEGATIVE returns on their money via U.S. Treasuries to ensure some type of safety, things are starting to normalize now, and in fact swing the other way.

This has given us one of the biggest opportunities in the last 50 years to take advantage of a punch drunk bumbling and stumbling government spending itself into possible oblivion.

A little harsh you say?

Perhaps, and I’m not one to judge, but I am certain of one thing: As Warren Buffett recently stated, the bubble in U.S. Treasuries is one of the largest of all time, even bigger than the housing bubble that we just witnessed collapse.

In fact, Buffett highlighted the sale in late 2008 by Berkshire Hathaway of a Treasury bill for a negative yield.

Buffett wrote in Berkshire’s annual letter in February that when “the financial history of this decade is written…the Treasury-bond bubble of late 2008″ may rank up there with the housing bubble of the early to middle part of the decade.

ULTA - TRADE WAS PROFITABLE

This is a trade I am analyzing due to my winning the trade on it. click on the chart to the right to see the chart itself and where I got in and my exits.

I need to do a further post-trade analysis to see if this stocks moves to the upside or whether it falters and I made the right choice to get out at $21.35.

TSTC IN BUY AREA

The revamped trading plan has arrived. If you click on the chart to the right you will see what I have created.

When the candlesticks are green, there is a bias to the upside. When red, there is a bias to the downside. I want to ride the waves within the predominant trend. So when the trend is up, it makes the candles green and I want to catch a wave up after the stock has been oversold as noted by the stochastics being below 20.

Since I enjoy shorting stocks too, I want to look for candlesticks that are red and the stochastics shows that the stock has been overbought or above 80 as seen on the stochastic chart.

If you look at the chart I have attached, you can see that the candlesticks are green and that the pair has the stochastics near 20. Granted they are right above 20 so I am going to set some orders to be activated once a certain price is met.

I am looking for an entry at $17.58 and a possible second entry at $15.30. I hope the second level doesn't ever reach there because it would be a 13% loss on the first position.

My exits will be below at $13.80 and above near $24.00

LEARNING LESSON: FOREX

Here is a trade I was considering: It was on the EURUSD pair and I was noticing that the pair was in the OS territory based upon the slow stochastics on a daily chart. The slowK was also above the slowD and so I was expecting a bounce to the upside. I moved down to a 15 min chart and made my move. My analysis was totally wrong for a number of reasons: 1. The pair is below the 55 EMA on the daily chart and the 15 min chart as well as the 4 hour chart. 2. The trend line break was a head fake. 3. There was an error in going from the daily chart down to the 15 min chart. If I looked at the 4 hour chart, you could clearly see the slowK was moving downward and was below the slowD.

GPRE IN BUYING TERRITORY: SUCCESSFUL TRADE

If you click on the chart to the right, you will notice a green vertical line. This is a buy line based upon my trading plan. I want to enter as near to $13.12 as possible. The chart also has the targets and stop loss also listed on them.

So here is the chart of the final trade. I originally entered at $12.92 based upon the first entry signal which is the first green vertical line. There is a second entry that could have been also performed but I did not have the funds available to do so. Today, the exit signal was triggered at $14.05. That gives a $1.13 profit or 8.75% in 13 days. I will take these anytime.

02 02 2010 BUYING OPPORTUNITY IN LULU: LOSING TRADE. LOST 10% BASED UPON STOP LOSS BEING TRIGGERED

Here is a stock that is in a buying opportunity. Note the green vertical dashed line denoting such a buying opportunity.

Entry should be as near to $28.74 as possible by placing an order called a buy limit.

Setting a stop loss is the next priority. Set it at $26.04.

Setting targets is the next step. Schedule 3 targets to reach.

T1 = $30.31
T2 = $32.80
T3 = $34.15

Move you stop loss up each time a target is reached.

Well, I never got to move my stop loss up because I never made a profit off of this one. Within 4 days it came down and met my stop loss.

BWY ENTERED AT $17.54 SETTING TARGETS FOR PROFIT AND A STOP LOSS FOR PROTECTION

BWY gave me a nice 10% return a couple of weeks ago. I am now watching it as it has tracked back down into the $17.00. It is also in an "oversold" area on the stochastic as seen on this chart. I suspect a move up into the $18.50 region and possibly into the $20 is a possibility.

Click on the chart to look for the reasons why I am going to be buying.

UPDATE: 2.2.2010

So the stock jumped nearly 5% today. The trade is so far profitable as of today so I have set targets for profit. Click on the chart to the right to see the explanation.

OUTLOOK FOR S&P 500 ON WEEKLY CHART

HERE IS A PICTURE OF THE SPY ON A WEEKLY CHART. CLICK ON THE PICTURE TO ENLARGE IT AND READ THE TEXT ON THE PICTURE.

I SEE THE SPY IN "NO-MAN'S LAND" BETWEEN THE 50 AND 200 DEMA ON A DAILY CHART. SO THIS MEANS THAT ANY POSITION SHOULD BE TO THE DOWNSIDE UNTIL IT NEARS THE 200 DEMA.

MY PLAN: SHORT THE MARKET. ADD MORE SHORT POSITIONS WHEN THE 50 DEMA IS MET ABOVE THE CURRENT PRICE.

PLAN ON TARGETING THE 200 DEMA ON THE DOWNSIDE FOR PROFIT. STOP LOSS IS GOING TO BE $0.25 ABOVE THE MOST RECENT HIGHS.

BUYING HMIN TODAY 01 14 2010. STOP LOSS OUT 01.21.2010.

I am buying HMIN today and have done so with a limit order at $36.15. I am hoping that this stock will rise off the 55 day EMA (yellow line) after popping higher a few days ago with higher trading volume. It also comes from my watch list as being within a buy area.

I also noted the stock is accumulating based upon the A/D line rising for the past few months.

I am going to scale into this trade so I bought 1/3 of my position to at $36.15.

UPDATE: 01.21.2010

Today the overall general market took a huge digger and this stock stopped me out at my 10% stop loss rule. Since I used 15% of my account, I lost 1.5% of my total account on this trade. There is the rule. Limit losses and let winners run.

POSITIONS AND TRADES

This is the chart for DRYS. The stock is bouncing around its 55 and 200 day EMA's. Click on the chart to look at the text on the chart to see the plan.


BWY is sitting right above its 55 day EMA. This may act as support, but I see stronger support at the junction of the 200 day EMA and the trend line drawn on the chart.

The other factor that is contributing to the pair being a strong stock is that there was a huge burst of trading volume in December and since then trading volume and price have both drifted lower. If the overall stock market is going to falter, then I expect a retracement back to the 200 day EMA where a strong buy point is in play as it is near the trend line too.


AIXG is nearing a support although it is below its 55 day EMA. If this stock does not use $31.82 as support and closes below this level, it is a bad sign and has the potential for this stock to take a digger. All of the trading volume has really been around the $32 level.

PLAN FOR AIXG: If the stock bounces off $31.82, buy it. If the stock closes below $31.82, do nothing.

TRADE #5 OF STAGE 2: SHORT THE USDJPY

I am watching a possible double top on the USDJPY based upon the chart attached.

Here is my logic and reasoning.

1. When looking at the USDX, it appears as if it is going to meet an area of a little resistance around $78 as noted in the blog from 12.18.2009

2. The four hour chart shows a resistance line and I expect a short term double top due to reason #1.

I placed my entry near the resistance line at 90.59 and a stop loss above the resistance line at 91.02. This price is also a few pips above the most recent high which should be respected in a double top.

My T1 is sitting at the 38.2% Fib retracement from 12.9.2009 until the most recent high. My T2 is at the 61.8% retracement of the same move.

Again, I have come to the resolution that the two time frame analysis is what is going to work best. I am going to avoid noting the daily chart in the analysis. Thus, my HTF is the 4 hour chart and my entry was the 15 min chart.

INFO FOR ME

3218-1331 HSA
17305265 TS


http://www.forexcalc.com/ forex position calculator

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/financialcareers/06/FinancialAnalyst.asp#12893350414672&close

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/professionaleducation/10/market-technicians-association.asp

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/financialcareers/09/chartered-market-technician-cmt.asp

http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/2006/08/07/8382584/index.htm

http://richard-wilson.blogspot.com/2008/09/how-to-start-hedge-fund-launch-tips.html

http://www.hedgefundmarketing.org/starting-a-hedge-fund/

http://www.hedgefundlawblog.com/recommended-hedge-fund-articles-for-start-up-hedge-fund-managers.html

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?threadid=207753

PEGA is showing a buying opportunity. VNR is at 52 week highs

Looking into the charts, I see PEGA as a potential buy due to the increasing

volume and breakout from a triangle on a daily chart. Click on this chart to enlarge it. There was a bottom in October 2008 and PEGA has been in an uptrend ever since. Is this a possible return to the uptrend? Let's move closer into the daily chart and see what it looks like.

I like the fact that the stock is still above its 200 day moving average which is the wavy dark blue line. I don't like the fact that the 55 day moving average is sloping down. The fact that the stock is back above its 55 day moving average makes me feel better, however. The triangle that you see on the chart with the aqua-colored trendlines is appropriate so I am going to set my buying opportunities near $31.60. Stop loss $28.98. T1 = $35.21. T2 = $37.20 T3 = $39.76

I also looked at VNR. This stock has performed very well. When panning back on its chart, one can see that this stock is at a 52 week high. Most stocks that are above this level continue to move above this level so entry near hear is great.

ARTICLE ON SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE

TraderPlanet Today

POTENTIAL SHORT ON NZD/JPY

Since the beginning of 2009, the NZD/JPY has seen a steady uptrend having begun near 44.00. It topped out around 69.50 toward the end of October. Prices have since dropped rather aggressively hitting a low of about 60.00 near the end of November (breaking through the 2009 bull trend line the process). Over the past couple weeks, price have rebounded and are currently testing near-term resistance near 65.00.

We still may have a solid shorter-term selling opportunity in the form of a double-top bearish Gartley pattern if current 65.00 resistance fails and prices move up to around 67.0 (click on chart to enlarge it). Assuming this pattern completes and no warning signs (gaps and/or long bars prior to entry) are present, we may see at least a temporary dip down to initial fib support of the projected CD leg near 65.00 (38.2% of projected CD leg) followed by 64.00 (61.8% of CD). The key will be for price to remain above point C (62.00) before reaching the projected entry of 66.80; otherwise, this specific double-top Gartley setup is no longer valid.

Potential Strategy : Sell if prices rally to 66.80 risking 67.84 targeting 65.22 (T1), 64.09 (T2).

POTENTIAL BUY IN EUR/GBP

Looking to buy the EUR/GBP if it falls to 0.8930.



Here is the chart. I am going to set one contract in at a buy limit order and then wait to see what happens. If I get a positive response, I will look to enter with my other contracts.

fx360